By Bill O'Reilly

Last night Dick Morris said he believes Governor Romney will win easily in November. "Talking Points" dissents. I believe the vote will be very close. The wild card is Mitt Romney himself. He must convince skeptical voters that he is looking out for them. And that he has to do it in a very personal way.

That is not Governor Romney's style. He's a reserved man who is a traditional campaigner saying the same things over and over and over. President Obama also repeats himself frequently. But the President does have the common touch, his speaking ability is convincing to many.

Last time around, John McCain could not match Barack Obama in the debates. The Senator simply refused to highlight Mr. Obama's negative world experience, Reverend Wright, that kind of stuff. In the end, McCain did not have enough persuasive power to overcome the charismatic Obama.

But that was then. Now, the President has a record and many believe it is weak. We have a new Fox News poll that will demonstrate that in a moment.

Can Mitt Romney exploit the shaky economy? Rising gas prices? And out-of-control debt? That is the question. Romney can expect no help from the media. New study by George Mason University says that the three networks and Fox News are pretty much the same when it comes to scrutinizing the Republican field. Isn't that interesting? While the President and the Democratic Party believe FNC shills for the GOP, an academic study says that is not the case.

Also both Rick Santorum and Newt Gingrich have complained publicly that Fox News was not fair to them in the campaign, favoring Romney. The George Mason study says that is not true. Talk radio may help Governor Romney but that's about it. Obviously he can expect no support from the liberal media and Fox News will cover the campaign fairly. If Romney doesn't do well, we'll report it; same thing with the President.

So the Governor himself must defeat Barack Obama one on one. He certainly has enough ammunition as the cold truth is the USA is not in good shape. Nevertheless, President Obama has a devoted constituency: labor, African-Americans, entitlement people and he's working hard to convince women and Hispanics he is their guy.

Governor Romney must diminish the Obama coalition but can only do so by outperforming the President, man to man.

And that's "The Memo."

Pinheads & Patriots

In order to benefit a bunch of charities, including the Connections Church, the winner of the Master's golf tournament, Bubba Watson, and other golfers, did this.

(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: I want my birdies all day long. Let the bogeys go. And say hey.

UNIDENTIFIED FEMALE: Oh, la, la, la, le, la, la hey.

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: You want to play with the pros now?

UNIDENTIFIED FEMALE: Hey!

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: You've got to hit it in the hole now.

UNIDENTIFIED FEMALE: Hey!

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: You want to reach that top, yes.

UNIDENTIFIED FEMALE: Hey!

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: You've got to give it all you got.

(END VIDEO CLIP)

O'REILLY: Ok. So far that exhibition has raised more than $10,000 for charity, and you can see it on YouTube.

Mr. Watson and his friends are "Patriots", although I'm not sure how much of that I can watch.

— You can catch Bill O'Reilly's "Talking Points Memo" and "Pinheads & Patriots" weeknights at 8 and 11 p.m. ET on the Fox News Channel and any time on foxnews.com/oreilly. Send your comments to: oreilly@foxnews.com.