After the State of the Union address, a long-term liberal friend of mine emailed me that President Biden had performed very well and would go on to defeat Donald Trump in November.

I replied his stated scenario is what he wants to believe and that the outcome of the contest remains undefined. I added that significant events will occur before November that will shape the election.

There is no question that millions of Americans will vote for President Biden no matter what happens in the world. Same for Trump supporters. A significant part of the electorate is locked in for various reasons.

My analysis, based on history, is that a Biden second term will veer even sharper left into socialist territory. The President is the biggest spender ever, and that will continue with rising tax rates on corporations and affluent private citizens. The corporate tax hit, of course, will be passed along to consumers in the form of higher prices.

The progressive left, which runs Biden, desperately wants massive income redistribution, and that can only happen if Washington controls the private marketplace.

So, Scranton Joe Biden will attempt to go there.

Thus, hardworking Americans, including my liberal friend, are voting against their own self-interest by supporting Joe. They and their families will have less, their economic security diminished.

That is what's on the ballot come November. Not everyone will believe it, but all should be told.

See you this evening for the No Spin News.