The O'Reilly Factor
A daily summary of segments aired on The O'Reilly Factor. A preview of the evening's rundown is posted before the show airs each weeknight.
Thursday, January 7, 2016
The Factor Rundown
Talking Points Memo
Impact Segment
Unresolved Problems
Factor Followup
Weekdays with Bernie
Watters' World
Factor Mail
Tip of the Day
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Comments
Can Trump Really Win the Nomination?
"Perhaps for the first time in memory, the left-wing media and the Republican Party establishment agree on something. Namely, that it would be bad if Donald Trump is the GOP presidential nominee. The liberal media simply despises Mr. Trump because he openly mocks their values, or lack thereof. And the Republicans do not believe Trump can defeat Hillary Clinton. Talking Points believes Donald Trump will win the New Hampshire primary on February 9th. Ted Cruz may win in Iowa, but Trump will be competitive, and in South Carolina Trump is far ahead. And then you come to Super Tuesday, which is impossible to call right now. The big thing holding Trump back is his unfavorable rating. According to a CNN poll, 57% of American adults do not like Mr. Trump, and that includes 27% of Republicans. Despite that, Trump continues to dominate the national GOP polling. The reason is that many Americans are fed up with what has happened to America. They're tired of standard politicians lying to them and they believe Trump will blow up the system. In a Wall Street Journal column today, Daniel Henninger puts forth that political correctness has alienated so many Americans that the anti-PC guy Trump is acceptable no matter what he says. The politically correct crowd often fires vile accusations towards those they don't like. Folks who oppose gay marriage are homophobic, people who want a responsible welfare program are anti-poor, and Americans who believe that the enormous out of wedlock African-American birth rate is hurting the country are anti-black. This is vile stuff and clear-thinking Americans know it. Thus, when a guy like Trump attacks the politically correct madness, he gains devoted followers. Donald Trump could win the Republican nomination, but he will have to moderate his tone a bit and he will have to get more specific in his problem-solving vision. But I believe he's got a chance and if he does win, it will be the most incredible political upset in history."
The Latest on the GOP Race
The Factor analyzed Trump's candidacy and the Republican race with political observers Tom Bevan and Jenna Johnson. "Donald Trump seems to have a better shot than anyone else in the field," Johnson said. "He's been dominating the polls and having rallies where thousands and thousands of people show up. But he has to turn these fans into actual voters, which could be difficult because his supporters tend to be younger and less likely to have a college degree. They don't vote as often." Bevan agreed and added that polls can be misleading. "Howard Dean had a lot of excitement in Iowa and wound up finishing out of the money. So it will be a test for Donald Trump, but he has certainly tapped into something with the electorate. Republican voters are mad at President Obama and Democrats, but they are almost equally mad at Republicans. That's what Trump is standing for." The Factor added, "If Trump runs against Hillary Clinton it will be the wildest presidential race since Andrew Jackson."
The GOP vs. Trump
The Factor welcomed veteran Republican strategist Ed Rollins, who analyzed the disdain many traditional Republicans feel for Donald Trump. "The establishment feels like he is not one of them," Rollins declared, "and that he has not been a Republican. They don't have any control over him, they don't know what kind of president he would be, and they want someone who is part of their society. I worry that some of the things Trump says will drive some voters away, but in this election cycle it is absurd to say he doesn't have a chance. I would argue that Donald Trump will have a harder time winning the Republican nomination than the general election against Hillary Clinton."
Dana's Top Story
'The Five' co-host Dana Perino entered the No Spin Zone and named the week's most consequential story. She cited a former federal prosecutor's prediction that Hillary Clinton will be indicted and will be forced to quit the race. "That is total speculation and it's unlikely," Perino suggested. "I don't think Attorney General Loretta Lynch would ever indict Hillary Clinton even if the FBI were to show evidence that there should be an indictment. So no Republican should count on this happening." The Factor disagreed in part, saying, "If the FBI publicly says there is enough evidence to indict Hillary Clinton, the FBI will have to do it." Perino also predicted that Ted Cruz will win in Iowa, but hinted that the following primaries in New Hampshire and South Carolina could have some surprises."
Fair Coverage
A Washington Post columnist has praised Fox News for its tough but fair coverage of Donald Trump. The Factor asked Bernie Goldberg to opine. "It's true that there are some interviews on this channel that hold Donald Trump accountable," Goldberg said, "but there's more to the story. Donald Trump gets more air time on Fox than some of the anchors, which is a plus for him. He also has more than a few friends on Fox and some of them interview him as if they were interviewing a friend. The most important thing is that many Trump supporters are good and decent people, but he also brings bigots out of hiding, people who hate Muslims and Mexicans and gays. So I would suggest that someone on this channel challenge him on that." The Factor replied to Goldberg's analysis thusly: "CNN gives Trump more air time than Fox, and the reason that all cable networks want him on is because he generates ratings. I will also contend to you that in 2008 Barack Obama attracted just as many bigots who voted for him simply because of his skin color. The candidate has no control over that."
The Twitter Factor
Jesse Watters has spent the past few days monitoring public reaction to The Factor's new policy of sending out regular messages on Twitter. "You've made a big splash," Watters reported, "and you already have about one million followers. Your most popular tweet was about Hillary Clinton when you said she was probably being deceitful. And your most controversial tweet was when you said President Obama is sincere about trying to stop gun violence. People like the tweets because you're pithy, but they think this is Armageddon because after bashing the machines you are now using the machines." The Factor laid out the rationale for the increased tweeting: "Fox News gets attacked ever single day and I have to have a mechanism to respond."
Viewers Sound Off
Factor Words of the Day
Juan Martin de Nicolas, Austin, TX: "O'Reilly, your proposition that Hillary Clinton is not a socialist because she is rich is false. The definition of a socialist is a person who advocates socialism."

Theirry Juan, Quebec, Canada: "We have an expression for people like Hilary Clinton: 'caviar left.' They want socialism for everybody but themselves."

Zach Hollis, Santa Barbara, CA: "Bill, how can you call Putin a thug? We invade other countries, don't we?"

Leslie Oliver, Cambridge, MA: "I can live safely without having to see another movie by Quentin Tarantino. I can't live safely without police protection."
Bullish on Fox Business
Check out the Fox Business Network, which is rising in the ratings, especially after CNBC's disastrous Republican debate. FBN hosts another GOP debate next week.